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Today,
Australians view China more positively than they do the US,
according to a major survey released this week in Sydney by the
prestigious foreign policy think-tank, the Lowy Institute.
While 58
per cent of Australians have "positive feelings" towards the
country's traditional ally, America, that figure rises to 69 per
cent for China. In fact, only traditional friends and trading
partners such as New Zealand, Britain, mainland Europe,
Singapore and Japan (84 per cent) rank more highly in
Australians' esteem.
This
positive view of China is not a statistical quirk. According to
the same survey, 51 per cent believe that a free-trade agreement
with China would be good for Australia, while only 34 per cent
view positively the already completed US-Australia free-trade
pact.
And when
it comes to the vexed issue of Beijing's attitude towards
Taiwan, Australian Foreign Minister Alexander Downer appears to
be in tune with public opinion when he said in Beijing last year
that the US should not automatically assume Australia would join
it in a military defence of Taiwan against any Chinese
aggression. A staggering 72 per cent of respondents to the
survey agree with Mr Downer's view.
There is
little doubt that the lower-than-expected degree of support for
the US is, in part, due to the Bush administration's
uncompromising and hardline foreign and defence policy stance in
the Middle East and North Asia. And there is also little doubt
that China is not the bogeyman it is sometimes portrayed as by
the US and some Australian business and strategic interests, in
the minds of ordinary Australians.
In fact,
the growing strength of China is rated last in a list of top 10
threats to global security by the 1,000 Australians interviewed
in February for the Lowy Institute.
In the
1960s and even into the 1970s, the majority of Australians, like
Americans, regarded China as the "yellow peril"; a secretive
country with a desire to spread communism through Asia and even
into Australia. But when then Australian prime minister Gough
Whitlam moved for Australia to formally recognise China in 1972,
a shift in attitudes began.
As the
Lowy Institute's executive director, Alan Gyngell, said:
"Australians see China as an opportunity, not a threat. The
`yellow peril' seems to have dried up." This upbeat view is good
news for Australian Prime Minister John Howard, who heads to
China this month to launch free-trade discussions between the
two.
But Ross
Garnaut, a former Australian ambassador to China and a trade
expert, last week issued a word of caution about the radiance
emanating from the Chinese and Australian diplomatic and trade
camps. Professor Garnaut noted that while a free-trade agreement
"could end Australia's discrimination against China and China's
against Australia, it would increase Australia's and China's
[discrimination] against countries with which they did not have
[such deals]".
Professor Garnaut also reckons that the Chinese agricultural
sector and Australia's manufacturing division will look for long
lead times before having to open their markets. If there are
bitter rows over these important sectors, then the relatively
high level of support by Australians for a free-trade deal could
diminish the overall positive image of China that the Lowy
Institute survey has revealed.
A
friendly and respectful relationship between the two nations is
an important element in ensuring a secure Asia in the 21st
century. If the Lowy Institute poll is any indication, the
atmosphere for that to happen has never been more positive, but
hard work will be required by both countries to ensure this
remains the case. |